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Between the Mountains - Updates from the South Caucasus

Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung
Regional Programme Political Dialogue South Caucasus

October/November 2024


Dear Friends of Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung,
 

It is on Europe, NOT to recognize the official Georgian election results


Last week, when addressing the nation after the US election held on 05 November, Joe Biden described campaigns as “contests of competing visions”, and he said that for some it is now the time of victory, for others it is the time of loss. The most important point he made was: “Also, we can raise the question of integrity of the American electoral system. It is honest, it is fair, and it is transparent. And it can be trusted when you lose.”

The opposite is the case in Georgia. The Georgian Parliamentary election on 26 October were neither honest, they were not fair and not transparent. And the results cannot be trusted – by no means. There has been sufficient evidence collected and compiled that the election was not only falsified, but systematically rigged. Therefore, it does not represent the will of the Georgian people. The official results announced by the Central Election Commission lack legitimacy, as will any future government that seeks to build on them.  

On 26 October Georgians made their choice, but their choice was stolen. Brazenly and blatantly. The Georgian government has failed to pass the most important and most basic test of being democratic. Europe can and should not recognizes the election result and any government coming out of it. The election needs to be repeated, and Georgians need to be given a fair and honest choice.


Stephan Malerius




Contents

Headline Event: Youth Meeting with European Politicians
Spotlight Armenia
Spotlight Georgia
Spotlight Azerbaijan
Upcoming Events

"Youth meeting with European Politicans" 


On 11 November, we hosted a roundtable discussion in Tbilisi, featuring chairs of Foreign Affairs, Defence and European Affairs Committees from parliaments of eight European Union member states, alongside Georgian youth activists, students and KAS alumni.
The participants exchanged views and perceptions of the ongoing political crisis in Georgia, the illegitimacy of the results of the Parliamentary election of 26 October, European responses to the obvious rigging of the election and ways to support the pro-European forces in the country.


 

 

What happened in the South Caucasus?
 
Armenia

EU delegation arrives in Armenia - Discussions regarding visa liberalization
On 5 November an EU delegation arrived in Yerevan for negotiating a framework on visa liberalization. The respective dialogue is expected to focus on reforms in security, migration and asylum, travel documents, and border management among others. It will be conducted under the Visa Liberalisation Action Plan which is not to be seen as an automatic process. Only after the dialogue is successfully completed the EU will consider a visa-free travel agreement with Armenia.

Border deal between Armenia and Azerbaijan approved
Armenian President Vahagn Khachaturian and Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev have validated an agreement on regulating the process for border delimitation and demarcation. The agreement sets a framework for the joint work of Armenian and Azerbaijani government commissions dealing with the delimitation process. The Armenian parliament had ratified the regulations amid strong criticism of the opposition that was pointing to the lack of specifics in them.

Changes for Russian TV channels broadcasting in Armenia

Yerevan is awaiting a response from Moscow regarding proposals for amendments to the intergovernmental agreement on broadcasting Russian TV-channels in Armenia. The agreement was signed back in 2020 to exclude programs on the air that represents insults to the other state and people, as well as interference in internal affairs. The new proposals are aimed at taking “preventative rather than punitive measures”.


 
Georgia

Georgian parliamentary elections results raise concerns of fraud

The official results from Georgia’s October 26 elections show Georgian Dream with 54% of the vote, but serious allegations of fraud marred the process. Widespread vote-buying, voter intimidation, and breaches in voter secrecy, including use of semi-transparent ballots, strongly suggest manipulation of the outcome. Irregularities in voter data, such as male turnout exceeding 100% in some precincts, raise further concerns. The opposition parties and President Zurabishvili have publicly rejected the results, citing unprecedented fraud and foreign interference, and called for public protests to defend Georgia’s democratic rights.

A dozen daggers - Georgia and the special election operation
A comprehensive report has provided sufficient evidence to conclude that the Georgian Parliamentary Election of 2024 was systematically rigged and does not represent the will of the Georgian people. The policy brief outlines the multi-pronged assault on electoral integrity, including unprecedented vote-buying, mass intimidation, and direct manipulation that led to the result announced by the Central Election Commission. 

 

No EU-accession talks if Georgia does not change political course

French President Emmanuel Macron, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, and Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk issued a joint statement following protests in Georgia over alleged election fraud. Therein the leaders express concern over Georgia’s political situation, warning not to support the opening of EU accession talks and emphasizing the need for Georgia to repeal anti-European legislation. The statement urges transparent investigations into election irregularities..



 
Azerbaijan

 

COP29 in Baku
On 11 November, the 29th UN Climate Change Conference (COP 29) kicked off. Held in Baku this year where up to 80,000 participants from almost 200 countries, including government leaders, experts and activists, will convene over two weeks to grapple with climate-finance and other global warming-related issues. The conference’s primary goal is to secure $100 billion annually to address climate-related challenges mainly in developing nations. In the months leading up to COP29 Azerbaijan received widespread criticism for carrying out a far-reaching crackdown meant to silence all forms of internal dissent.

Severe flooding hits Baku

Just weeks ahead of COP29 heavy rainfall caused severe flooding in Baku, damaging infrastructure and resulting in two fatalities. The rainfall, which reached 306% of the monthly norm, overwhelmed the city’s drainage system, leaving many roads impassable. While the government focusses on high-profile projects for international events, critics argue that essential infrastructure improvements, like stormwater management, were neglected. 

Aliyev voices support for Georgian Dream and Donald Trump

President Ilham Aliyev’s regime has taken a decidedly partisan approach to political developments in neighbouring Georgia as well as in the US. It was offering unqualified support for the incumbent Georgian Dream (GD) party’s efforts to retain power in Georgia, and had for months expressed a preference for Trump regaining the White House. After GD’s victory official media reported that the results of the elections “are a big blow to the policy of the West in Georgia and the policy of creating dividing lines in the region.”





Upcoming events

Concluding Conference "Civil Society STAR initiative (04.-06.12.2024)
Book Presentation "Judicial Independence" textbook (19.11.2024)
EU-Armenia visa liberalization dialogue, Yerevan (18.11.2024)
Presentation "Vison Paper - South Caucasus" (12.2024)








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Florian BInder
florian.binder@kas.de



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